Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-09 1203.169819 1361.792766 1536.387380 1743.302328 1982.446122 2250.879348 2576.017988
2025-11-16 960.050761 1172.264389 1426.863476 1756.888018 2176.355789 2695.677361 3393.442577
2025-11-23 828.791305 1064.012205 1362.898354 1774.649659 2333.563330 3075.030540 4148.589385
2025-11-30 741.704904 991.375959 1323.723091 1805.024331 2495.075601 3465.487671 4963.633403
2025-12-07 650.943277 898.926125 1241.761662 1759.096509 2535.368409 3682.028796 5552.097270
2025-12-14 578.087595 821.165523 1168.456215 1711.760296 2560.546427 3870.697247 6116.310266
2025-12-21 515.991616 751.335076 1097.461612 1656.576089 2562.202194 4016.827260 6626.103270
2025-12-28 490.769480 732.952370 1099.904600 1712.663628 2743.352833 4469.759244 7720.416431
2026-01-04 461.932963 705.705505 1085.077699 1737.891829 2874.417361 4853.028611 8750.587465
2026-01-11 434.801942 678.269827 1066.648737 1753.904201 2989.640331 5220.944706 9809.990115
2026-01-18 410.145073 652.383388 1047.840379 1766.285306 3098.258698 5588.738460 10928.666281
2026-01-25 393.803405 638.610357 1047.569852 1810.404181 3269.038367 6094.863560 12418.671696
2026-02-01 373.518207 617.153794 1033.363380 1830.000726 3400.290087 6551.428798 13912.183219
2026-02-08 353.823910 595.155236 1016.361213 1842.855296 3520.781287 7005.878905 15499.017564
2026-02-15 336.934626 576.556863 1003.505339 1861.692009 3654.819944 7507.371410 17299.165777
2026-02-22 323.355220 562.703348 997.906057 1893.761355 3819.947282 8101.130877 19455.507119
2026-03-01 300.673532 530.315315 954.718217 1845.265880 3804.980340 8282.917982 20582.819849
2026-03-08 279.901490 499.951949 912.905646 1795.292785 3780.334488 8437.764880 21670.313748
2026-03-15 259.991630 469.821062 869.199148 1737.047398 3729.874549 8522.874857 22581.789997
2026-03-22 254.645847 467.301519 879.725714 1796.246343 3959.574023 9339.579541 25820.452220
2026-03-29 246.150665 457.956651 875.682351 1822.878735 4114.930116 9991.226158 28725.207206
2026-04-05 237.250547 447.146612 867.718822 1839.783831 4248.524732 10607.218514 31678.682875
2026-04-12 228.579396 436.176725 858.521520 1852.855991 4374.146163 11222.566424 34797.839107